Fire danger pathways under climate change and management scenarios
Welcome to FIREPATHS a research project aimed at assessing the future trajectories of wildfires under global change and the potential of forest management to mitigate the increasing hazard.
Recent activity
Proyectos
Human-caused ignition pathways under climate change scenarios in Eastern Spain
Wildfires pose an increasing threat to society, requiring appropriate approaches to understand the components of risk to design …
A spatially explicit containment modelling approach for escaped wildfires in a Mediterranean climate using machine learning
Wildfires are particularly prevalent in the Mediterranean, being expected to increase in frequency due to the expected increase in …
Modelling wildfire activity in wildland–urban interface (WUI) areas of Sardinia, Italy
Wildfire frequency, magnitude and impacts in wildland–urban interface (WUI) areas are increasing in the Mediterranean Basin. We …
FIREPATHS webmapping app
Online app published!
Anticipating future extreme wildfire events by coupling ignition and success of initial attack models
This study explores the coupling of ignition models with initial attack success predictions to anticipate extreme wildfire events under …
Fire hazard trajectories under climate change and management scenarios
This contribution presents an analysis of fire hazard trajectories under different scenarios of climate change and forest management. …
Integración de parcelas de inventario y de teledetección para modelizar la recuperación post-incendio de comunidades arbóreas mediterráneas
Este estudio analiza el potencial de recuperación post-incendio de cuatro comunidades arbóreas mediterráneas representativas (Pinus …
Predicción de incendios forestales extremos mediante el acoplamiento de modelos de ignición y éxito del ataque inicial
El objetivo principal de este estudio es predecir condiciones extremas de incendios forestales proporcionando un producto que describa …
Los grandes incendios forestales en Aragón: breve análisis y retrospectiva en el contexto de la temporada de verano de 2022
El verano de 2022 se distinguió por ser una de las peores temporadas de incendios en la Europa Mediterránea debido a las repetidas olas …
VPD based models of dead fine fuel moisture provide best estimates in a global dataset
Dead fine fuel moisture content (FM) is one of the most important determinants of fire behavior. Fire scientists have attempted to …
An empirical assessment of the potential of post-fire recovery of tree-forest communities in Mediterranean environments
The accumulation of fuel and the homogenization of the landscape in Mediterranean forests are leading to an increasingly hazardous …
Trayectorias de peligro de incendio bajo escenarios de cambio climático y de gestión: Nota de investigación
Nota de investigación sobre el Proyecto FirePATHS, liderado por Marcos Rodrigues y financiado por el Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación …
3rd plenary meeting
Third plenary meeting.
FIREPATHS webmapping app
Online app published!
Short-term recovery of post-fire vegetation is primarily limited by drought in Mediterranean forest ecosystems
Climate change is altering the fire regime and compromising the post-fire recovery of vegetation worldwide. To understand the factors …
Visualización y comparación de trayectorias de comportamiento potencial del fuego en escenarios de cambio climático y gestión forestal
En la actualidad, existe una gran preocupación por los incendios forestales y su creciente impacto debido al cambio climático. El papel …
Assessing human-caused wildfire ignition likelihood across Europe
This study evaluates the likelihood of human-caused wildfire ignitions across Europe using a Random Forest model. Key drivers include …
Drivers and implications of the extreme 2022 wildfire season in Southwest Europe
Wildfire is a common phenomenon in Mediterranean countries but the 2022 fire season has been extreme in southwest Europe (Portugal, …
Climate teleconnections modulate global burned area
Climate teleconnections (CT) remotely influence weather conditions in many regions on Earth, entailing changes in primary drivers of …
Modeling the daily probability of lightning-caused ignition in the Iberian Peninsula
Lightning is the most common origin of natural fires, being strongly linked to specific synoptic conditions associated with atmospheric …
The relationship between fire severity and burning efficiency for estimating wildfire emissions in Mediterranean forests
Forests are exposed to changing climatic conditions reflected by increasing drought and heat waves that increase the risk of wildfire …
Global warming reshapes European pyroregions
Wildland fire is expected to increase in response to global warming, yet little is known about future changes to fire regimes in …
2nd plenary meeting
Second plenary meeting.
Spatial Predictions of Human and Natural-Caused Wildfire Likelihood across Montana (USA)
Spatial wildfire ignition predictions are needed to ensure efficient and effective wildfire response, and robust methods for modeling …
Trajectories of Wildfire Behavior Under Climate Change. Can Forest Management Mitigate the Increasing Hazard?
Mediterranean forests and fire regimes are closely intertwined. Global change is likely to alter both forest dynamics and wildfire …
Advancing new methods for creating fire-resilient communities in Mediterranean areas
As the large fires threaten human assets in Mediterranean areas, creating fire-adapted communities became a core long-term goal to cope …
Anticipating future extreme wildfires by predicting the probability of ignition and escape to initial attack in Catalunya
In recent years, the EU has implemented several firefighting-related policies to battle and reduce the negative impacts of wildfires. …
Fire behavior pathways under climate change and management scenarios
Mediterranean forests are strongly influenced by forest fires; however, global change is threatening the provision of ecosystem …
High-resolution modeling of lightning ignition likelihood in Spain
Lightning‐caused fires are comparatively rare in Europe, but they may affect remote forested areas and result in large‐scale burnings. …
Kick-off meeting
Kick-off meeting.