Assessing human-caused wildfire ignition likelihood across Europe

Abstract

This study evaluates the likelihood of human-caused wildfire ignitions across Europe using a Random Forest model. Key drivers include proximity to roads, fuel types, and socio-environmental variables. The method was applied across several pilot sites in the FirEUrisk framework, identifying areas of elevated ignition probability for targeted fire prevention strategies.

Marcos Rodrigues

Professor of Geographic Information Science

My research interests include forest fires, spatial analysis and forestry.